ARTICLE 11. Chances of Playing a Sport...

Chances of a High School Athlete playing College Sports.docx

Chances of a High School Athlete playing College Sports

Scholarship
Stats.com

 


What are the chances of a high school athlete making the transition to the college level? We compared the number of athletes participating in varsity sports at US high schools during the 2013-14 school year to the number of college student athletes and arrived at the following percentages. Overall a little over 7% of high school athletes (about 1 in 14) went on to play a varsity sport in college, and about 2% of high school athletes (1 in 50) went on to play at the NCAA Division I level:

 

 

High School

College

% competing

% of foreign

% of high school athletes competing in

Varsity Sport

Boys *

Men

in College

Athletes **

NCAA I

NCAA II

NCAA III

NAIA

NJCAA

Other

Archery

2,705

54

2.0%

--

-

0.2%

0.4%

0.5%

0.2%

0.7%

Badminton

4,436

-

-

--

-

-

-

-

-

-

Baseball

482,629

55,410

11.5%

Low

2.1%

2.1%

2.7%

1.4%

2.3%

0.9%

Basketball

541,054

32,190

5.9%

Average

1.0%

0.9%

1.4%

0.8%

1.1%

0.7%

Bowling

28,121

736

2.6%

--

-

0.1%

-

1.7%

0.6%

0.1%

Cross Country

252,547

18,217

7.2%

Average

1.9%

1.3%

2.3%

0.8%

0.4%

0.4%

Cycling

466

179

n/m

--

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Equestrian

177

49

n/m

--

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Fencing

2,189

651

29.7%

Average

16.9%

1.3%

11.2%

-

-

0.2%

Field Hockey

159

-

-

--

-

-

-

-

-

-

Football

1,122,024

90,136

8.0%

Low

2.4%

1.6%

2.2%

0.8%

0.5%

0.5%

Golf

152,647

12,292

8.1%

High

2.0%

1.6%

2.1%

1.1%

0.9%

0.4%

Gymnastics

1,995

382

19.1%

Low

16.9%

-

1.1%

1.1%

-

-

Ice Hockey

35,393

4,360

12.3%

High

3.3%

1.7%

6.4%

0.3%

0.6%

-

Lacrosse

106,720

13,857

13.0%

Low

2.8%

2.1%

7.0%

0.4%

0.7%

-

Rifle

2,668

199

7.5%

Low

4.5%

1.3%

1.3%

-

0.3%

-

Rodeo

123

1,372

n/m

--

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Rowing

2,544

3,091

n/m

Average

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Rugby

1,440

555

n/m

--

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Sailing

145

507

n/m

Low

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Skiing - Alpine

5,593

495

8.9%

High

2.9%

1.4%

3.7%

0.5%

-

0.4%

Skiing - Nordic/XC

4,406

41

0.9%

--

-

-

0.8%

-

-

0.2%

Snowboarding

696

14

2.0%

--

-

-

-

-

-

2.0%

Soccer

417,419

37,890

9.1%

High

1.4%

1.4%

2.8%

1.3%

1.2%

1.0%

Softball

1,436

-

-

--

-

-

-

-

-

Squash

-

471

n/m

High

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Swimming & Diving

138,373

10,893

7.9%

Average

2.8%

1.0%

3.1%

0.2%

0.2%

0.6%

Tennis

191,004

10,060

5.3%

High

1.4%

0.9%

1.9%

0.5%

0.3%

0.3%

Track & Field

653,971

27,772

4.2%

Average

1.3%

0.7%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

0.3%

Volleyball

52,149

2,314

4.4%

Average

0.9%

0.5%

1.8%

0.7%

-

0.5%

Water Polo

21,451

1,627

7.6%

Average

2.7%

0.6%

1.3%

0.1%

-

2.8%

Wrestling

269,514

9,756

3.6%

Low

0.9%

0.7%

1.0%

0.5%

0.3%

0.3%

Totals

4,496,194

330,374

7.3%

1.8%

1.3%

2.1%

0.8%

0.8%

0.5%

 

 

 

The following are the chances of high school girls competing at the college level by sport:

 

 

High School

College

% competing

% of foreign

% of high school athletes competing in

Varsity Sport

Girls *

Women

in College

Athletes **

NCAA I

NCAA II

NCAA III

NAIA

NJCAA

Other

Archery

2,162

73

3.4%

--

0.5%

0.1%

0.5%

1.2%

0.2%

0.9%

Badminton

12,152

150

1.2%

--

-

-

0.2%

1.1%

-

-

Baseball

1,066

-

-

--

-

-

-

-

-

-

Basketball

433,344

27,710

6.4%

Average

1.2%

1.1%

1.5%

0.9%

1.1%

0.6%

Beach Volleyball

-

619

n/m

Average

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Bowling

25,751

1,124

4.4%

Low

1.1%

0.9%

0.3%

1.5%

0.4%

0.1%

Cross Country

218,121

19,351

8.9%

Average

2.6%

1.6%

2.9%

0.9%

0.4%

0.5%

Cycling

130

78

n/m

--

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Equestrian

1,306

2,295

n/m

Low

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Fencing

1,774

677

38.2%

Average

23.2%

2.0%

12.6%

-

-

0.4%

Field Hockey

61,471

5,885

9.6%

High

2.9%

1.1%

5.5%

-

-

.1%

Football

1,828

-

-

--

-

-

-

-

-

-

Golf

72,172

6,638

9.2%

High

3.1%

2.0%

2.0%

1.4%

0.4%

0.3%

Gymnastics

19,231

1,733

9.0%

6.2%

1.3%

1.3%

.1%

-

-

Ice Hockey

9,150

2,150

23.5%

High

7.5%

2.4%

13.3%

0.2%

0.2%

-

Lacrosse

81,969

10,869

13.3%

Low

3.4%

2.1%

6.0%

0.3%

0.3%

-

Rifle

1,587

189

11.9%

Average

8.7%

1.3%

1.5%

-

0.4%

-

Rodeo

143

850

n/m

--

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Rowing

4,242

7,800

n/m

Low

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Rugby

322

362

n/m

Low

n/m

n/m

n/m

-

-

-

Sailing

122

648

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Skiing

4,541

496

10.9%

High

4.1%

1.8%

4.2%

0.6%

-

0.3%

Skiing - Nordic/XC

4,863

44

0.9%

--

-

-

0.9%

-

-

-

Snowboarding

290

11

3.8%

--

-

-

-

-

-

3.8%

Soccer

374,564

37,760

10.1%

Average

2.4%

1.8%

2.8%

1.3%

1.0%

0.8%

Softball

371,891

30,874

8.3%

Low

1.6%

1.5%

2.0%

1.1%

1.6%

0.5%

Squash

-

449

n/m

High

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

n/m

Swimming & Diving

165,779

13,679

8.3%

Average

3.3%

1.0%

3.2%

0.2%

0.1%

0.5%

Synchronized Swimming

603

74

12.3%

Low

10.9%

-

1.3%

-

-

-

Tennis

215,737

10,869

5.0%

High

1.4%

0.9%

1.8%

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

Track & Field

545,011

26,059

4.8%

Average

1.8%

0.8%

1.3%

0.5%

0.2%

0.2%

Volleyball

429,634

26,570

6.2%

Average

1.2%

1.1%

1.6%

0.9%

0.9%

0.5%

Water Polo

18,899

1,803

9.5%

Average

3.7%

1.2%

1.3%

0.1%

-

3.3%

Wrestling

9,904

294

3.0%

--

-

0.6%

0.1%

1.9%

0.3%

0.1%

Totals

3,089,759

234,727

7.6%

2.2%

1.2%

2.2%

0.8%

0.7%

0.5%

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

For additional information see our page on the chances of a high school athlete getting a college athletic scholarship.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

* High school data is from the 2013-14 High School Athletics Participation Survey conducted by the National Federation of State High School Associations. This data is based on competition at the High School Level during the 2013-14 School Year.

 

 

 

** Many foreign student athletes compete on U.S. college varsity teams and may not be reflected as US high school participants. This factor may result in computed participation percentages for many sports that are artificially high. Here is a summary of foreign student (non-resident alien) participation on NCAA I varsity teams per the NCAA 2013-14 Race & Gender Demographics Database:

*** The notation "n/m" reports that the computed participation percentage is not meaningful due to an insufficient number of high school participants to make a valid comparison of high school to college athletes in the sport..

 

 

 

% of foreign athletes

Sport - NCAA I Member Schools

Men

Women

Tennis

32.3%

30.4%

Ice Hockey

21.0%

26.9%

Skiing

17.9%

17.8%

Squash

14.7%

15.2%

Golf

12.2%

15.8%

Field Hockey

-

10.2%

Soccer

12.1%

4.9%

Water Polo

6.8%

6.9%

Basketball

6.1%

4.4%

Swimming

5.9%

5.8%

Fencing

4.7%

6.5%

NCAA I Average

 

4.5%

5.6%

Sand Volleyball

-

5.2%

Rowing

4.3%

2.8%

Volleyball

4.1%

4.5%

Cross Country

4.0%

3.3%

Track & Field

3.6%

3.4%

Lacrosse

3.0%

0.9%

Gymnastics

1.4%

4.3%

Rifle

-

3.3%

Bowling

-

2.5%

Synchronized Swimming

-

2.4%

Equestrian

-

1.1%

Softball

-

0.9%

Baseball

0.8%

-

Sailing

0.4%

2.2%

Football

0.4%

-

Wrestling

0.2%

-

Rugby

-

-

 

 

 

 

 

These percentages contain numerous caveats: the number of participants at the high school level does not include high school age athletes who don't play on a high school team, but compete on club, travel and similar teams. So for sports such as high school football that have a large number of high school participants and a relatively small number of travel teams, these percentages are a pretty good indication of a high school athlete's chances of playing at the college level.

However for sports with numerous travel teams (soccer, basketball, etc.) the numbers become more of a challenge. These factors may result in computed odds for many sports that are artificially high. For example, the chances of a female being able to participate on a college rowing team looks like an absolute lock in that there are more college athletes participating than at the high school level. However the competition to get on a college varsity team is much tougher than indicated above; most high schools don't sponsor rowing teams, and many teenage rowers compete on local clubs that are not reflected in the high school data. Additionally, talented high school athletes who end up not being recruited in their primary sport (say basketball or volleyball) may instead focus on competing in another sport such as rowing. So for many if not most sports, the chances are likely more difficult than presented above.

However in certain other sports, the chances might actually be better than presented above. For example, a high school baseball player may also be a talented multi sport athlete who receives afull scholarship for playing football and opts to forego college baseball. The percentage of multi-sport athletes is significantly higher at the high school level than in college. Additionally, a very talented high school baseball player may elect to forego college entirely and go directly into professional baseball. Other factors may improve the chances as well, including the fact that a significant number of high school athletes simply do not continue on to college.

These chances are based on participating at a college sport at any level - the chances of a high school athlete competing at the NCAA Division I level are much lower than the same athlete's chances of playing at the NCAA Division III or NAIA level - see our page on the
chances of playing college sports by divisionfor more information.

Competitive cheer teams are not included in the collegiate participants above, although many advocates of these programs believe that at some point competitive cheer will attain the legal status of a varsity college sport. However, a 2010 federal court decision gave this movement at least a temporary set back in holding that participation in collegiate competitive cheer programs cannot count towards fulfilling a school's compliance with Title IX. Some colleges do sponsor varsity level competitive cheer/dance programs, however we have not currently compiled this data.

Statistics for both High School and College athletes above report participation on school sponsored varsity, JV and freshman teams, and do not reflect club, travel and/or intramural sports teams.

 


© ScholarshipStats.com


Statistical information on college athletic scholarships
and student athlete participation at the collegiate level.

Main Page About our Stats